C19 Update with Poland

2020-05-23

US estimated C19 deaths

   110289 +/- 7785  =  Jun 1 total (95% confidence)

   133068 +/- 7785  =  Jul 1

   145087 +/- 7785  =  Aug 1

   151390 +/- 7785  =  Sep 1

2020-05-23

World estimated C19 deaths

   359996 +/- 26424  =  Jun 1 total (95% confidence)

   410950 +/- 26424  =  Jul 1

   430841 +/- 26424  =  Aug 1

   438209 +/- 26424  =  Sep 1

Poland: Current total = 982

Fit max = 1317 +/- 85 (95% conf)

Last 5 daily deaths =[11 12 14 10 10]

lognorm fit = a*lognorm.cdf(t,s=b,loc=c,scale=d)
(a,b,c,d) = (1317.4826, 0.47611764, 47.879195, 53.935457)